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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Tienen x Hoogstraten VV Betting tips for January 12 in Belgium First Amateur Division
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 14h00 Belgium First Amateur Division
Tienen Tienen
PREDICTION No tip
Hoogstraten VV Hoogstraten VV
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Tienen x Hoogstraten VV Betting tips for January 12 in Belgium First Amateur Division

Our betting tip for Tienen x Hoogstraten VV, Sunday, 12/1/2025
πŸ“… 12/1/2025
14:00
Tienen Tienen
1.65
X
3.74
Hoogstraten VV Hoogstraten VV
4.32

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Tienen x Hoogstraten VV:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Tienen x Hoogstraten VV

Important information for your tip for Tienen x Hoogstraten VV:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tienen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $495.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hoogstraten VV in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Tienen scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Tienen is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Tienen x Hoogstraten VV for the Belgium First Amateur Division – 12 of January

🏟️ Tienen X Hoogstraten VV – Belgium First Amateur Division
πŸ“… 12 of January, 2025 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ Tienen – Winning probability: 60.97% | Fair line: 1.64
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.13% | Fair line: 3.98
πŸ”΄ Hoogstraten VV – Winning probability: 13.89% | Fair line: 7.2
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Tienen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tienen x Hoogstraten VV right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tienen x Hoogstraten VV

Should you bet on Tienen?

πŸ”΅ Tienen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – profiting $396.50;
  • And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$6.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $685.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$65.00.

Is it worth betting on Hoogstraten VV?

πŸ”΄ Hoogstraten VV: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $464.80;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$395.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tienen x Hoogstraten VV

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Tienen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tienen x Hoogstraten VV

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Tienen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Tienen.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tienen x Hoogstraten VV

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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