Tikves Kavadarci x FK Sileks Betting tips for September 29 in North Macedonia First League
| 📅 29/9/2024 09:00 |
 Tikves Kavadarci2.68 |
X 3.00 |
FK Sileks  2.40 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Tikves Kavadarci x FK Sileks:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!
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Important information for your tip for Tikves Kavadarci x FK Sileks: 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, FK Sileks scored at least 1 goal(s). |
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Analysis from Tikves Kavadarci x FK Sileks for the North Macedonia First League – 29 of September
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🏟️ Tikves Kavadarci X FK Sileks – North Macedonia First League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tikves Kavadarci x FK Sileks right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Tikves Kavadarci x FK Sileks
Is it worth betting on Tikves Kavadarci?
🔵 Tikves Kavadarci: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $386.40;
- And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$383.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $820.00;
- And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$230.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on FK Sileks?
🔴 FK Sileks: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 360 times – profiting $504.00;
- And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Tikves Kavadarci x FK Sileks
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Tikves Kavadarci
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tikves Kavadarci x FK Sileks
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Tikves Kavadarci, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Tikves Kavadarci.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Tikves Kavadarci.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tikves Kavadarci x FK Sileks
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
