📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Tlaxcala FC x Cimarrones de Sonora FC
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Analysis from Tlaxcala FC x Cimarrones de Sonora FC for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 19 of January
🏟️ Tlaxcala FC X Cimarrones de Sonora FC – Mexico Liga de Expansion
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tlaxcala FC and Cimarrones de Sonora FC.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 289715 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Tlaxcala FC x Cimarrones de Sonora FC
Is it worth betting on Tlaxcala FC?
🔵 Tlaxcala FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $567.60;
- And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$7.60. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $603.63
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$106.37.
Is betting on Cimarrones de Sonora FC worth it?
🔴 Cimarrones de Sonora FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $516.38
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$213.62.
Handicaps analysis for the match Tlaxcala FC x Cimarrones de Sonora FC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tlaxcala FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tlaxcala FC x Cimarrones de Sonora FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Tlaxcala FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Tlaxcala FC.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tlaxcala FC x Cimarrones de Sonora FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves