Tocantinopolis EC x Maracanã Betting tips for April 19 in Brazil Serie D

Our betting tip for Tocantinopolis EC x Maracanã, Saturday, 19/4/2025

📅 19/4/2025 19:00

Tocantinopolis EC 2.70

X 2.92

Maracanã 2.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Tocantinopolis EC x Maracanã:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Tocantinopolis EC x Maracanã

The main points for the tip for Tocantinopolis EC x Maracanã: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tocantinopolis EC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-169.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Maracanã in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $90.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Maracanã conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Tocantinopolis EC x Maracanã for the Brazil Serie D – 19 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tocantinopolis EC x Maracanã right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1306590 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tocantinopolis EC x Maracanã

Is it worth betting on Tocantinopolis EC?

🔵 Tocantinopolis EC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $459.00;
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$271.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $595.20;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$94.80.

Is it worth betting on Maracanã?

🔴 Maracanã: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – profiting $645.00;
• And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$75.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tocantinopolis EC x Maracanã

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tocantinopolis EC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tocantinopolis EC x Maracanã

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Tocantinopolis EC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Tocantinopolis EC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Tocantinopolis EC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tocantinopolis EC x Maracanã

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.