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Home » Predictions » Others » Tochigi SC x Avispa Fukuoka Betting tips for April 16 in Japan J-League Cup
Wednesday, 16 April 2025, 10h00 Japan J-League Cup
Tochigi SC Tochigi SC
PREDICTION Avispa Fukuoka Wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Tochigi SC x Avispa Fukuoka Betting tips for April 16 in Japan J-League Cup

Our betting tip for Tochigi SC x Avispa Fukuoka, Wednesday, 16/4/2025
📅 16/4/2025
10:00
Tochigi SC Tochigi SC
4.40
X
3.60
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
1.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Tochigi SC x Avispa Fukuoka:

🔮 Avispa Fukuoka wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Avispa Fukuoka, you can win up to $850.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Tochigi SC x Avispa Fukuoka:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tochigi SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Avispa Fukuoka in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $770.0.
👉 Avispa Fukuoka did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Avispa Fukuoka scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Tochigi SC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Avispa Fukuoka matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Tochigi SC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Avispa Fukuoka.
👉 Avispa Fukuoka is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.
👉 Even as a visitor, Avispa Fukuoka won the last 3 head-to-head matches Tochigi SC´s territory

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Tochigi SC x Avispa Fukuoka?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Tochigi SC x Avispa Fukuoka:

Analysis from Tochigi SC x Avispa Fukuoka for the Japan J-League Cup – 16 of April

🏟️ Tochigi SC X Avispa Fukuoka – Japan J-League Cup
📅 16 of April, 2025 – 10:00
🔵 Tochigi SC – Winning probability: 12.25% | Fair line: 8.16
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.33% | Fair line: 8.11
🔴 Avispa Fukuoka – Winning probability: 75.42% | Fair line: 1.33
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Tochigi SC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tochigi SC x Avispa Fukuoka right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304980 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tochigi SC x Avispa Fukuoka

Is it a good idea to bet on Tochigi SC?

🔵 Tochigi SC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $408.00
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$472.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $312.00;
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$568.00.

Is it worth betting on Avispa Fukuoka?

🔴 Avispa Fukuoka: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 750 times – having a profit of $525.00;
  • And would have lost other 250 times – with a loss of -$250.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$275.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tochigi SC x Avispa Fukuoka

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Tochigi SC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tochigi SC x Avispa Fukuoka

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Tochigi SC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Tochigi SC.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tochigi SC x Avispa Fukuoka

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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