Tokyo Verdy x Nagoya Grampus Betting tips for March 15 in Japan J-League

Our betting tip for Tokyo Verdy x Nagoya Grampus, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 05:00

Tokyo Verdy 2.45

X 2.94

Nagoya Grampus 2.98

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Tokyo Verdy x Nagoya Grampus:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Tokyo Verdy x Nagoya Grampus

Important information for your tip for Tokyo Verdy x Nagoya Grampus: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tokyo Verdy in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nagoya Grampus in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-170.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Tokyo Verdy conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Nagoya Grampus conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Tokyo Verdy as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from Tokyo Verdy x Nagoya Grampus for the Japan J-League – 15 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tokyo Verdy and Nagoya Grampus.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281124 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tokyo Verdy x Nagoya Grampus

Should you bet on Tokyo Verdy?

🔵 Tokyo Verdy: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $565.50
• And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$44.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $620.80;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$59.20.

Should you bet on Nagoya Grampus?

🔴 Nagoya Grampus: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $574.20;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$135.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tokyo Verdy x Nagoya Grampus

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Tokyo Verdy
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tokyo Verdy x Nagoya Grampus

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Tokyo Verdy and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Tokyo Verdy.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Nagoya Grampus.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tokyo Verdy x Nagoya Grampus

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.