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Home » Predictions » Others » Toluca Women x Atletico San Luis Women Betting tips for November 1 in Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Friday, 01 November 2024, 23h00 Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Toluca Women Toluca Women
PREDICTION Toluca Women wins Probability 96% 1 X 2
Atletico San Luis Women Atletico San Luis Women
ODD: @1.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Toluca Women x Atletico San Luis Women Betting tips for November 1 in Mexico Liga MX Femenil

Our betting tip for Toluca Women x Atletico San Luis Women, Friday, 1/11/2024
📅 1/11/2024
23:00
Toluca Women Toluca Women
1.20
X
6.00
Atletico San Luis Women Atletico San Luis Women
9.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Toluca Women x Atletico San Luis Women:

🔮 Toluca Women wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Toluca Women, you can win up to $600.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Toluca Women x Atletico San Luis Women:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Toluca Women in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $395.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico San Luis Women in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Toluca Women scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Atletico San Luis Women, Toluca Women scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Atletico San Luis Women conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Toluca Women has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Atletico San Luis Women.
👉 It is not a good time for Atletico San Luis Women as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Toluca Women x Atletico San Luis Women for the Mexico Liga MX Femenil – 1 of November

🏟️ Toluca Women X Atletico San Luis Women – Mexico Liga MX Femenil
📅 1 of November, 2024 – 23:00
🔵 Toluca Women – Winning probability: 96.30% | Fair line: 1.04
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.67% | Fair line: 37.5
🔴 Atletico San Luis Women – Winning probability: 1.04% | Fair line: 96.31
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Toluca Women
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Toluca Women and Atletico San Luis Women.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1213888 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Toluca Women x Atletico San Luis Women

Should you bet on Toluca Women?

🔵 Toluca Women: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 96.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 960 times – this would give you a profit of $192.00
  • And would lose other 40 times – losing -$40.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$152.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $150.00;
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$820.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico San Luis Women?

🔴 Atletico San Luis Women: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $80.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$910.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Toluca Women x Atletico San Luis Women

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Toluca Women
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Toluca Women x Atletico San Luis Women

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Toluca Women and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 Toluca Women.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 Atletico San Luis Women.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Toluca Women x Atletico San Luis Women

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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