Tondela x Pacos Ferreira Betting tips for December 1 in Portugal Segunda Liga

Our betting tip for Tondela x Pacos Ferreira, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 14:00

Tondela 2.02

X 3.20

Pacos Ferreira 3.47

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Tondela x Pacos Ferreira:

🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for Tondela x Pacos Ferreira: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tondela in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $157.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pacos Ferreira in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-90.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Tondela scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Pacos Ferreira scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Tondela conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Pacos Ferreira. 👉 Tondela is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Tondela x Pacos Ferreira for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 1 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tondela and Pacos Ferreira.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tondela x Pacos Ferreira

Is it worth betting on Tondela?

🔵 Tondela: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.02. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $459.00
• And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$91.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $748.00
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$88.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Pacos Ferreira?

🔴 Pacos Ferreira: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.47. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $543.40
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$236.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tondela x Pacos Ferreira

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Tondela
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tondela x Pacos Ferreira

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Tondela, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Tondela.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Pacos Ferreira.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tondela x Pacos Ferreira

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.