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Home » Predictions » Others » Torrejon x Rayo Vallecano B Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 7
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 10h30 Spain Tercera Group 7
Torrejon Torrejon
PREDICTION Torrejon wins Probability 52% 1 X 2
Rayo Vallecano B Rayo Vallecano B
ODD: @2.65 Don't miss this prediction!

Torrejon x Rayo Vallecano B Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 7

Our betting tip for Torrejon x Rayo Vallecano B, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
10:30
Torrejon Torrejon
2.65
X
3.25
Rayo Vallecano B Rayo Vallecano B
2.33

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Torrejon x Rayo Vallecano B:

🔮 Torrejon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Torrejon, you can win up to $1325.00!

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The main points for the tip for Torrejon x Rayo Vallecano B:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Torrejon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $65.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Torrejon scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Rayo Vallecano B scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Rayo Vallecano B, Torrejon scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Torrejon x Rayo Vallecano B, with Torrejon as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Torrejon conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Torrejon conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Rayo Vallecano B.
👉 Rayo Vallecano B is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.
👉 Torrejon has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Rayo Vallecano B playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Torrejon x Rayo Vallecano B for the Spain Tercera Group 7 – 1 of December

🏟️ Torrejon X Rayo Vallecano B – Spain Tercera Group 7
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 10:30
🔵 Torrejon – Winning probability: 52.10% | Fair line: 1.92
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.06% | Fair line: 3.84
🔴 Rayo Vallecano B – Winning probability: 21.85% | Fair line: 4.58
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Torrejon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Torrejon and Rayo Vallecano B.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Torrejon x Rayo Vallecano B

Is it worth betting on Torrejon?

🔵 Torrejon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $858.00;
  • And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$378.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $585.00;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$155.00.

Should you bet on Rayo Vallecano B?

🔴 Rayo Vallecano B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $292.60
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$487.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Torrejon x Rayo Vallecano B

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Torrejon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Torrejon x Rayo Vallecano B

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Torrejon, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Torrejon.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Torrejon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Torrejon x Rayo Vallecano B

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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