TPS x FF Jaro Betting tips for October 3 in Finland Ykkosliiga

Our betting tip for TPS x FF Jaro, Thursday, 3/10/2024

📅 3/10/2024 12:30

TPS 2.85

X 3.40

FF Jaro 2.17

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for TPS x FF Jaro:

🔮 TPS wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on TPS, you can win up to $1425.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for TPS x FF Jaro: 👉 If you had bet $100 on TPS in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on FF Jaro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-135.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, FF Jaro scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, TPS conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for TPS as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from TPS x FF Jaro for the Finland Ykkosliiga – 3 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for TPS x FF Jaro right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1194161 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for TPS x FF Jaro

Is it a good idea to bet on TPS?

🔵 TPS: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $610.50;
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$59.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $648.00;
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$82.00.

Should you bet on FF Jaro?

🔴 FF Jaro: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.17. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $468.00
• And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$132.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match TPS x FF Jaro

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 TPS
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for TPS x FF Jaro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 TPS and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 TPS.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 FF Jaro.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for TPS x FF Jaro

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.