📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Trabzonspor x Giresunspor
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Analysis from Trabzonspor x Giresunspor for the Turkey Super Lig – 19 of January
🏟️ Trabzonspor X Giresunspor – Turkey Super Lig
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Trabzonspor x Giresunspor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 289741 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Trabzonspor x Giresunspor
Is betting on Trabzonspor worth it?
🔵 Trabzonspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 72.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 720 times – profiting $392.40;
- And would lose other 280 times – having a loss of -$280.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$112.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $461.25;
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$388.75.
Is it a good idea to bet on Giresunspor?
🔴 Giresunspor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $578.50
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$291.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Trabzonspor x Giresunspor
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Trabzonspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Trabzonspor x Giresunspor
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Trabzonspor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Trabzonspor.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Giresunspor.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Trabzonspor x Giresunspor
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves