Træff x Molde 2 Betting tips for September 30 in Norway Division 3 Group 5

Our betting tip for Træff x Molde 2, Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 13:30

Træff 1.17

X 6.52

Molde 2 8.59

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Træff x Molde 2:

🔮 Træff wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Træff, you can win up to $585.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Træff x Molde 2: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Træff in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $7.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Molde 2 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-230.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Træff scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Molde 2, Træff scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Træff matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Molde 2 matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Træff x Molde 2, with Træff as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Træff did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the home team. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Molde 2 conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Træff has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Molde 2.

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Analysis from Træff x Molde 2 for the Norway Division 3 Group 5 – 30 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Træff x Molde 2 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1191189 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Træff x Molde 2

Is it worth betting on Træff?

🔵 Træff: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 91.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.17. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 910 times – this would give you a profit of $154.70
• And would lose other 90 times – having a loss of -$90.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$64.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 40 times – profiting $220.80;
• And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$739.20.

Is it worth betting on Molde 2?

🔴 Molde 2: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.59. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $379.50;
• And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$570.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Træff x Molde 2

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Træff
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Træff x Molde 2

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 Træff, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.0 Træff.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Træff x Molde 2

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 4.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 4.25 goals.