📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Tranmere x Rochdale
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Analysis from Tranmere x Rochdale for the England League 2 – 15 of January
🏟️ Tranmere X Rochdale – England League 2
When the best bet on Tranmere x Rochdale is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 287992 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Tranmere x Rochdale
Is betting on Tranmere worth it?
🔵 Tranmere: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $489.60;
- And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$0.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $517.00
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$263.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Rochdale?
🔴 Rochdale: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $742.50;
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$12.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Tranmere x Rochdale
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Tranmere
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tranmere x Rochdale
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Tranmere, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Tranmere.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tranmere x Rochdale
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves