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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Tranmere x Swindon Betting tips for October 1 in England League 2
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 15h45 England League 2
Tranmere Tranmere
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
Swindon Swindon
ODD: @3.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Tranmere x Swindon Betting tips for October 1 in England League 2

Our betting tip for Tranmere x Swindon, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 1/10/2024
15:45
Tranmere Tranmere
2.10
X
3.30
Swindon Swindon
3.32

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Tranmere x Swindon:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1650.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Tranmere x Swindon:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tranmere in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Swindon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Swindon scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Swindon, Tranmere scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Swindon conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Tranmere has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Swindon.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Tranmere x Swindon?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tranmere x Swindon, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Tranmere x Swindon for the England League 2 – 1 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Tranmere X Swindon – England League 2
๐Ÿ“… 1 of October, 2024 – 15:45
๐Ÿ”ต Tranmere – Winning probability: 39.72% | Fair line: 2.52
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.96% | Fair line: 2.78
๐Ÿ”ด Swindon – Winning probability: 24.32% | Fair line: 4.11
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tranmere
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tranmere and Swindon.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192611 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tranmere x Swindon

Is it worth betting on Tranmere?

๐Ÿ”ต Tranmere: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $440.00
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$160.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $828.00;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$188.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Swindon?

๐Ÿ”ด Swindon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $556.80;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$203.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Tranmere x Swindon

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tranmere
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tranmere x Swindon

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Tranmere, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Tranmere.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tranmere x Swindon

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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