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Home Β» Predictions Β» Trapani x Avellino Betting tips for October 30 in Italy Serie C Group C
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 19h45 Italy Serie C Group C
Trapani Trapani
PREDICTION No tip
Avellino Avellino
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Trapani x Avellino Betting tips for October 30 in Italy Serie C Group C

Our betting tip for Trapani x Avellino, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
πŸ“… 30/10/2024
19:45
Trapani Trapani
2.26
X
3.10
Avellino Avellino
3.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Trapani x Avellino:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Trapani x Avellino

Some important points for the tip for Trapani x Avellino:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Trapani in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-169.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Avellino in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-30.0.
πŸ‘‰ Avellino did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Trapani scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Avellino has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ Trapani has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Avellino playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Trapani x Avellino for the Italy Serie C Group C – 30 of October

🏟️ Trapani X Avellino – Italy Serie C Group C
πŸ“… 30 of October, 2024 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Trapani – Winning probability: 41.85% | Fair line: 2.39
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.39% | Fair line: 2.99
πŸ”΄ Avellino – Winning probability: 24.76% | Fair line: 4.04
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Trapani
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Trapani and Avellino.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212778 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Trapani x Avellino

Is betting on Trapani worth it?

πŸ”΅ Trapani: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $529.20
  • And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$50.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $693.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$23.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on Avellino?

πŸ”΄ Avellino: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $500.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$250.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Trapani x Avellino

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Trapani
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Trapani x Avellino

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Trapani, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Trapani.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Avellino.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Trapani x Avellino

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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