Trapani x SS Turris Calcio Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie C Group C
📅 29/9/2024 13:30 |
Trapani 1.52 |
X 3.94 |
SS Turris Calcio 4.60 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Trapani x SS Turris Calcio:
🔮 Trapani wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Trapani, you can win up to $760.00!
Important information for your tip for Trapani x SS Turris Calcio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Trapani in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-130.0. |
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Analysis from Trapani x SS Turris Calcio for the Italy Serie C Group C – 29 of September
🏟️ Trapani X SS Turris Calcio – Italy Serie C Group C |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Trapani x SS Turris Calcio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Trapani x SS Turris Calcio
Is it a good idea to bet on Trapani?
🔵 Trapani: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 86.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 870 times – profiting $452.40;
- And would lose other 130 times – losing -$130.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$322.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $294.00;
- And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$606.00.
Should you bet on SS Turris Calcio?
🔴 SS Turris Calcio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $108.00;
- And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$862.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Trapani x SS Turris Calcio
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Trapani
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Trapani x SS Turris Calcio
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Trapani, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Trapani.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 SS Turris Calcio.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Trapani x SS Turris Calcio
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.