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Home » Predictions » Treze x Botafogo PB Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Campeonato Paraibano
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 19h00 Brazil Campeonato Paraibano
Treze Treze
PREDICTION No tip
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
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Treze x Botafogo PB Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Campeonato Paraibano

Our betting tip for Treze x Botafogo PB, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
19:00
Treze Treze
2.37
X
2.90
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
2.86

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Treze x Botafogo PB:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Treze x Botafogo PB

The main points for the tip for Treze x Botafogo PB:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Treze in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $177.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Botafogo PB in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-350.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Treze scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Treze x Botafogo PB, with Treze as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Treze has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Botafogo PB playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Treze x Botafogo PB for the Brazil Campeonato Paraibano – 2 of February

🏟️ Treze X Botafogo PB – Brazil Campeonato Paraibano
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Treze – Winning probability: 39.83% | Fair line: 2.51
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.68% | Fair line: 2.88
🔴 Botafogo PB – Winning probability: 25.49% | Fair line: 3.92
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Treze
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Treze x Botafogo PB right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Treze x Botafogo PB

Should you bet on Treze?

🔵 Treze: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $548.00
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$52.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $665.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$15.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on Botafogo PB?

🔴 Botafogo PB: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.86. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $465.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$285.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Treze x Botafogo PB

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Treze
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Treze x Botafogo PB

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Treze, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Treze.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Botafogo PB.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Treze x Botafogo PB

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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