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Home » Predictions » Others » Triestina x Albinoleffe Betting tips for October 30 in Italy Serie C Group A
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 17h30 Italy Serie C Group A
Triestina Triestina
PREDICTION No tip
Albinoleffe Albinoleffe
Don't miss this prediction!

Triestina x Albinoleffe Betting tips for October 30 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for Triestina x Albinoleffe, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
17:30
Triestina Triestina
1.81
X
3.28
Albinoleffe Albinoleffe
4.02

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Triestina x Albinoleffe:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Triestina x Albinoleffe

Some important points for the tip for Triestina x Albinoleffe:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Triestina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Albinoleffe in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $130.0.
👉 In the last 5 Albinoleffe matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Triestina x Albinoleffe, with Triestina as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Triestina conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Triestina conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Albinoleffe.
👉 Even as a visitor, Albinoleffe won the last 3 head-to-head matches Triestina´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Triestina x Albinoleffe for the Italy Serie C Group A – 30 of October

🏟️ Triestina X Albinoleffe – Italy Serie C Group A
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 17:30
🔵 Triestina – Winning probability: 51.00% | Fair line: 1.96
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.24% | Fair line: 3.42
🔴 Albinoleffe – Winning probability: 19.76% | Fair line: 5.06
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Triestina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Triestina x Albinoleffe is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212778 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Triestina x Albinoleffe

Is betting on Triestina worth it?

🔵 Triestina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.81. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $413.10
  • And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$76.90 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $661.20;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$48.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Albinoleffe?

🔴 Albinoleffe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.02. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $604.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$196.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Triestina x Albinoleffe

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Triestina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Triestina x Albinoleffe

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Triestina and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Triestina.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Triestina.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Triestina x Albinoleffe

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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