Tritones Vallarta MFC x Tigres de Álica FC Betting tips for November 30 in Mexico Segunda Division
| 📅 30/11/2024 22:00 |
 Tritones Vallarta MFC2.25 |
X 3.20 |
Tigres de Álica FC  2.80 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Tritones Vallarta MFC x Tigres de Álica FC:
🔮 Tigres de Álica FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tigres de Álica FC, you can win up to $1400.00!
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The main points for the tip for Tritones Vallarta MFC x Tigres de Álica FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tritones Vallarta MFC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $120.0. |
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Analysis from Tritones Vallarta MFC x Tigres de Álica FC for the Mexico Segunda Division – 30 of November
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🏟️ Tritones Vallarta MFC X Tigres de Álica FC – Mexico Segunda Division |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tritones Vallarta MFC x Tigres de Álica FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230061 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Tritones Vallarta MFC x Tigres de Álica FC
Is it worth betting on Tritones Vallarta MFC?
🔵 Tritones Vallarta MFC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $337.50;
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$392.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $440.00
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$360.00.
Should you bet on Tigres de Álica FC?
🔴 Tigres de Álica FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 530 times – profiting $954.00;
- And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$484.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Tritones Vallarta MFC x Tigres de Álica FC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Tritones Vallarta MFC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tritones Vallarta MFC x Tigres de Álica FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Tritones Vallarta MFC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Tritones Vallarta MFC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Tigres de Álica FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tritones Vallarta MFC x Tigres de Álica FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
