Trival Valderas x CD El Alamo Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 7

Our betting tip for Trival Valderas x CD El Alamo, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 10:30

Trival Valderas 1.52

X 3.80

CD El Alamo 5.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Trival Valderas x CD El Alamo:

🔮 Trival Valderas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Trival Valderas, you can win up to $760.00!

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The main points for the tip for Trival Valderas x CD El Alamo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Trival Valderas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-18.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD El Alamo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Trival Valderas scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, CD El Alamo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Trival Valderas x CD El Alamo, with Trival Valderas as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Trival Valderas conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, CD El Alamo conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Trival Valderas x CD El Alamo for the Spain Tercera Group 7 – 12 of January

When the best bet on Trival Valderas x CD El Alamo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Trival Valderas x CD El Alamo

Is betting on Trival Valderas worth it?

🔵 Trival Valderas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 72.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 720 times – this would give you a profit of $374.40
• And would lose other 280 times – losing -$280.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$94.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $588.00;
• And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$202.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on CD El Alamo?

🔴 CD El Alamo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $280.00
• And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$650.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Trival Valderas x CD El Alamo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Trival Valderas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Trival Valderas x CD El Alamo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Trival Valderas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Trival Valderas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 CD El Alamo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Trival Valderas x CD El Alamo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.