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Home » Predictions » Others » Trofense x Sao Joao Ver Betting tips for November 8 in Portugal Liga 3
Saturday, 08 November 2025, 15h00 Portugal Liga 3
Trofense Trofense
PREDICTION Trofense wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver
ODD: @1.58
Bonus 100% up to $500
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Trofense x Sao Joao Ver Betting tips for November 8 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for Trofense x Sao Joao Ver, Saturday, 8/11/2025
📅 8/11/2025
15:00
Trofense Trofense
1.58
X
3.65
Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver
4.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Trofense x Sao Joao Ver:

🔮 Trofense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Trofense, you can win up to $790.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Trofense x Sao Joao Ver:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Trofense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-85.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Joao Ver in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Trofense conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Trofense x Sao Joao Ver for the Portugal Liga 3 – 8 of November

🏟️ Trofense X Sao Joao Ver – Portugal Liga 3
📅 8 of November, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Trofense – Winning probability: 72.46% | Fair line: 1.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.97% | Fair line: 5.27
🔴 Sao Joao Ver – Winning probability: 8.57% | Fair line: 11.67
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Trofense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Trofense x Sao Joao Ver right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1434165 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Trofense x Sao Joao Ver

Is it worth betting on Trofense?

🔵 Trofense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 720 times – profiting $417.60;
  • And would lose other 280 times – having a loss of -$280.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$137.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $503.50;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$306.50.

Is it worth betting on Sao Joao Ver?

🔴 Sao Joao Ver: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $351.00;
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$559.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Trofense x Sao Joao Ver

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Trofense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Trofense x Sao Joao Ver

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Trofense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Trofense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Trofense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Trofense x Sao Joao Ver

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves