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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Tropezon x CD Bezana Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 3
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 12h00 Spain Tercera Group 3
Tropezon Tropezon
PREDICTION No tip
CD Bezana CD Bezana
Don't miss this prediction!

Tropezon x CD Bezana Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 3

Our betting tip for Tropezon x CD Bezana, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
12:00
Tropezon Tropezon
1.95
X
3.30
CD Bezana CD Bezana
3.45

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Tropezon x CD Bezana:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Tropezon x CD Bezana

Important information for your tip for Tropezon x CD Bezana:

πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Tropezon scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Tropezon matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Tropezon conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Tropezon x CD Bezana?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tropezon x CD Bezana, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Tropezon x CD Bezana for the Spain Tercera Group 3 – 29 of September

🏟️ Tropezon X CD Bezana – Spain Tercera Group 3
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ Tropezon – Winning probability: 52.94% | Fair line: 1.89
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.14% | Fair line: 3.68
πŸ”΄ CD Bezana – Winning probability: 19.92% | Fair line: 5.02
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Tropezon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tropezon and CD Bezana.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tropezon x CD Bezana

Is betting on Tropezon worth it?

πŸ”΅ Tropezon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $503.50
  • And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$33.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $621.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$109.00.

Is it worth betting on CD Bezana?

πŸ”΄ CD Bezana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $490.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$310.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tropezon x CD Bezana

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Tropezon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tropezon x CD Bezana

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Tropezon and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Tropezon. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tropezon x CD Bezana

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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