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Home » Predictions » Others » Troyes x Amiens Betting tips for May 10 in France Ligue 2
Saturday, 10 May 2025, 15h00 France Ligue 2
Troyes Troyes
PREDICTION Troyes wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
Amiens Amiens
ODD: @1.56 Don't miss this prediction!

Troyes x Amiens Betting tips for May 10 in France Ligue 2

Our betting tip for Troyes x Amiens, Saturday, 10/5/2025
📅 10/5/2025
15:00
Troyes Troyes
1.56
X
3.90
Amiens Amiens
5.36

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Troyes x Amiens:

🔮 Troyes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Troyes, you can win up to $780.00!

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The main points for the tip for Troyes x Amiens:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Troyes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $40.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Amiens in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Amiens, Troyes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Amiens conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Troyes has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Amiens.

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Summary

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Analysis from Troyes x Amiens for the France Ligue 2 – 10 of May

🏟️ Troyes X Amiens – France Ligue 2
📅 10 of May, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Troyes – Winning probability: 79.20% | Fair line: 1.26
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.93% | Fair line: 7.18
🔴 Amiens – Winning probability: 6.87% | Fair line: 14.56
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Troyes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Troyes x Amiens right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1322135 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Troyes x Amiens

Is it worth betting on Troyes?

🔵 Troyes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 79.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.56. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – profiting $442.40;
  • And would lose other 210 times – having a loss of -$210.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$232.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $406.00
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$454.00.

Is betting on Amiens worth it?

🔴 Amiens: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $305.20;
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$624.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Troyes x Amiens

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Troyes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Troyes x Amiens

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Troyes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Troyes.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Troyes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Troyes x Amiens

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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