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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Troyes x Guingamp Betting tips for March 14 in France Ligue 2
Friday, 14 March 2025, 19h00 France Ligue 2
Troyes Troyes
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
Guingamp Guingamp
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Troyes x Guingamp Betting tips for March 14 in France Ligue 2

Our betting tip for Troyes x Guingamp, Friday, 14/3/2025
๐Ÿ“… 14/3/2025
19:00
Troyes Troyes
2.35
X
3.00
Guingamp Guingamp
3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Troyes x Guingamp:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

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The main points for the tip for Troyes x Guingamp:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Troyes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-20.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Guingamp in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $275.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Guingamp scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Troyes x Guingamp, with Troyes as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Guingamp conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Troyes x Guingamp?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Troyes x Guingamp, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Troyes x Guingamp for the France Ligue 2 – 14 of March

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Troyes X Guingamp – France Ligue 2
๐Ÿ“… 14 of March, 2025 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Troyes – Winning probability: 40.38% | Fair line: 2.48
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.20% | Fair line: 2.92
๐Ÿ”ด Guingamp – Winning probability: 25.42% | Fair line: 3.93
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Troyes
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Troyes x Guingamp is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281036 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Troyes x Guingamp

Is it worth betting on Troyes?

๐Ÿ”ต Troyes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$60.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $680.00;
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$20.00.

Is it worth betting on Guingamp?

๐Ÿ”ด Guingamp: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $500.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$250.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Troyes x Guingamp

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Troyes
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Troyes x Guingamp

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Troyes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Troyes.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Guingamp.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Troyes x Guingamp

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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