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Home Β» Predictions Β» Tuttocuoio x Prato Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Tuttocuoio Tuttocuoio
PREDICTION No tip
Prato Prato
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Tuttocuoio x Prato Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Tuttocuoio x Prato, Sunday, 2/2/2025
πŸ“… 2/2/2025
13:30
Tuttocuoio Tuttocuoio
2.25
X
3.10
Prato Prato
2.88

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Tuttocuoio x Prato:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Tuttocuoio x Prato

Some important points for the tip for Tuttocuoio x Prato:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tuttocuoio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Prato in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Tuttocuoio scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Prato, Tuttocuoio scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Tuttocuoio matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Tuttocuoio x Prato, with Tuttocuoio as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Tuttocuoio conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Prato.
πŸ‘‰ Tuttocuoio has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Prato playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Tuttocuoio x Prato for the Italy Serie D – 2 of February

🏟️ Tuttocuoio X Prato – Italy Serie D
πŸ“… 2 of February, 2025 – 13:30
πŸ”΅ Tuttocuoio – Winning probability: 42.98% | Fair line: 2.33
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.49% | Fair line: 3.18
πŸ”΄ Prato – Winning probability: 25.53% | Fair line: 3.92
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tuttocuoio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tuttocuoio x Prato right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tuttocuoio x Prato

Is it worth betting on Tuttocuoio?

πŸ”΅ Tuttocuoio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $537.50;
  • And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$32.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $651.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$39.00.

Is it worth betting on Prato?

πŸ”΄ Prato: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $488.80
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$251.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tuttocuoio x Prato

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tuttocuoio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tuttocuoio x Prato

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Tuttocuoio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Tuttocuoio. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tuttocuoio x Prato

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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