U.S. Ancona x Fermana Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for U.S. Ancona x Fermana, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 13:30

U.S. Ancona 1.33

X 4.60

Fermana 7.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for U.S. Ancona x Fermana:

🔮 U.S. Ancona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on U.S. Ancona, you can win up to $665.00!

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Important information for your tip for U.S. Ancona x Fermana: 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, U.S. Ancona scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Fermana, U.S. Ancona scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 U.S. Ancona matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between U.S. Ancona x Fermana, with U.S. Ancona as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, U.S. Ancona conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Fermana.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on U.S. Ancona x Fermana?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from U.S. Ancona x Fermana for the Italy Serie D – 12 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for U.S. Ancona x Fermana right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for U.S. Ancona x Fermana

Should you bet on U.S. Ancona?

🔵 U.S. Ancona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 88.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 880 times – this would give you a profit of $290.40
• And would lose other 120 times – having a loss of -$120.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$170.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $324.00;
• And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$586.00.

Is it worth betting on Fermana?

🔴 Fermana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $130.00;
• And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$850.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match U.S. Ancona x Fermana

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 U.S. Ancona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for U.S. Ancona x Fermana

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 U.S. Ancona, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 U.S. Ancona. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for U.S. Ancona x Fermana

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.