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Home » Predictions » Others » UC Ceares x Caudal Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 2
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 11h00 Spain Tercera Group 2
UC Ceares UC Ceares
PREDICTION Caudal Wins Probability 68% 1 X 2
Caudal Caudal
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction!

UC Ceares x Caudal Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 2

Our betting tip for UC Ceares x Caudal, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
11:00
UC Ceares UC Ceares
5.50
X
3.60
Caudal Caudal
1.53

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for UC Ceares x Caudal:

🔮 Caudal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Caudal, you can win up to $765.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for UC Ceares x Caudal:

👉 If you had bet $100 on UC Ceares in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $120.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Caudal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 Caudal did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, UC Ceares scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Caudal, UC Ceares scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, UC Ceares conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Caudal has not lost any of them.
👉 UC Ceares has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Caudal playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from UC Ceares x Caudal for the Spain Tercera Group 2 – 12 of January

🏟️ UC Ceares X Caudal – Spain Tercera Group 2
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 UC Ceares – Winning probability: 7.23% | Fair line: 13.82
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.86% | Fair line: 4.19
🔴 Caudal – Winning probability: 68.90% | Fair line: 1.45
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 UC Ceares
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between UC Ceares and Caudal.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for UC Ceares x Caudal

Should you bet on UC Ceares?

🔵 UC Ceares: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $315.00
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$615.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $624.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Is it worth betting on Caudal?

🔴 Caudal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 68.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 690 times – profiting $365.70;
  • And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$55.70.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match UC Ceares x Caudal

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 UC Ceares
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UC Ceares x Caudal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 UC Ceares, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 UC Ceares.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 UC Ceares.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UC Ceares x Caudal

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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