UCAM Murcia CF B x UD Caravaca Betting tips for November 24 in Spain Tercera Group 13

Our betting tip for UCAM Murcia CF B x UD Caravaca, Sunday, 24/11/2024

📅 24/11/2024 09:00

UCAM Murcia CF B 2.12

X 3.20

UD Caravaca 3.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for UCAM Murcia CF B x UD Caravaca:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for UCAM Murcia CF B x UD Caravaca

Important information for your tip for UCAM Murcia CF B x UD Caravaca: 👉 If you had bet $100 on UCAM Murcia CF B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-27.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Caravaca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-30.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, UCAM Murcia CF B scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against UD Caravaca, UCAM Murcia CF B scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 UCAM Murcia CF B matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between UCAM Murcia CF B x UD Caravaca, with UCAM Murcia CF B as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, UCAM Murcia CF B conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, UCAM Murcia CF B conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against UD Caravaca.

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Analysis from UCAM Murcia CF B x UD Caravaca for the Spain Tercera Group 13 – 24 of November

When the best bet on UCAM Murcia CF B x UD Caravaca is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226284 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for UCAM Murcia CF B x UD Caravaca

Is it worth betting on UCAM Murcia CF B?

🔵 UCAM Murcia CF B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $537.60;
• And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$17.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$40.00.

Should you bet on UD Caravaca?

🔴 UD Caravaca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $462.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$318.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match UCAM Murcia CF B x UD Caravaca

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 UCAM Murcia CF B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UCAM Murcia CF B x UD Caravaca

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 UCAM Murcia CF B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 UCAM Murcia CF B.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 UCAM Murcia CF B.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UCAM Murcia CF B x UD Caravaca

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.