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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» UD Alzira x Badalona Futur Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 16h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
UD Alzira UD Alzira
PREDICTION No tip
Badalona Futur Badalona Futur
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UD Alzira x Badalona Futur Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3

Our betting tip for UD Alzira x Badalona Futur, Sunday, 12/1/2025
πŸ“… 12/1/2025
16:00
UD Alzira UD Alzira
1.90
X
3.30
Badalona Futur Badalona Futur
3.85

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for UD Alzira x Badalona Futur:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for UD Alzira x Badalona Futur

Important information for your tip for UD Alzira x Badalona Futur:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on UD Alzira in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $88.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Badalona Futur in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 UD Alzira matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Badalona Futur conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from UD Alzira x Badalona Futur for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 – 12 of January

🏟️ UD Alzira X Badalona Futur – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
πŸ“… 12 of January, 2025 – 16:00
πŸ”΅ UD Alzira – Winning probability: 57.24% | Fair line: 1.75
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.47% | Fair line: 3.93
πŸ”΄ Badalona Futur – Winning probability: 17.30% | Fair line: 5.78
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 UD Alzira
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between UD Alzira and Badalona Futur.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for UD Alzira x Badalona Futur

Should you bet on UD Alzira?

πŸ”΅ UD Alzira: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $513.00;
  • And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$83.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $575.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$175.00.

Should you bet on Badalona Futur?

πŸ”΄ Badalona Futur: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $484.50;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$345.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UD Alzira x Badalona Futur

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 UD Alzira
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Alzira x Badalona Futur

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 UD Alzira, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 UD Alzira.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Badalona Futur.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Alzira x Badalona Futur

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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