UD Aretxabaleta x SD Deusto Betting tips for April 16 in Spain Tercera Group 4

Our betting tip for UD Aretxabaleta x SD Deusto, Wednesday, 16/4/2025

📅 16/4/2025
17:45

UD Aretxabaleta
2.49

X
3.30

SD Deusto

2.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for UD Aretxabaleta x SD Deusto:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for UD Aretxabaleta x SD Deusto

The main points for the tip for UD Aretxabaleta x SD Deusto:

👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Aretxabaleta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.
👉 In the last 3 UD Aretxabaleta matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, UD Aretxabaleta conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, SD Deusto conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on UD Aretxabaleta x SD Deusto?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2025, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from UD Aretxabaleta x SD Deusto for the Spain Tercera Group 4 – 16 of April

🏟️ UD Aretxabaleta X SD Deusto – Spain Tercera Group 4
📅 16 of April, 2025 – 17:45
🔵 UD Aretxabaleta – Winning probability: 31.79% | Fair line: 3.15
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.45% | Fair line: 3.28
🔴 SD Deusto – Winning probability: 37.76% | Fair line: 2.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 UD Aretxabaleta
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on UD Aretxabaleta x SD Deusto is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1304980 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for UD Aretxabaleta x SD Deusto

Is it a good idea to bet on UD Aretxabaleta?

🔵 UD Aretxabaleta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.49. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 320 times – profiting $476.80;
And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$203.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $690.00
And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$10.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on SD Deusto?

🔴 SD Deusto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $570.00;
And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$50.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match UD Aretxabaleta x SD Deusto

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 UD Aretxabaleta
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Aretxabaleta x SD Deusto

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 UD Aretxabaleta, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 UD Aretxabaleta.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 SD Deusto.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Aretxabaleta x SD Deusto

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.