UD Castellonense x Patacona CF Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Tercera Group 6
📅 30/11/2024 17:30 |
UD Castellonense 1.74 |
X 3.40 |
Patacona CF 4.24 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for UD Castellonense x Patacona CF:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for UD Castellonense x Patacona CF
Some important points for the tip for UD Castellonense x Patacona CF: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Patacona CF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-170.0. |
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Analysis from UD Castellonense x Patacona CF for the Spain Tercera Group 6 – 30 of November
🏟️ UD Castellonense X Patacona CF – Spain Tercera Group 6 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for UD Castellonense x Patacona CF right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for UD Castellonense x Patacona CF
Should you bet on UD Castellonense?
🔵 UD Castellonense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $436.60;
- And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$26.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $720.00
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$20.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is betting on Patacona CF worth it?
🔴 Patacona CF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $356.40;
- And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$533.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match UD Castellonense x Patacona CF
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 UD Castellonense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Castellonense x Patacona CF
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 UD Castellonense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 UD Castellonense.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 UD Castellonense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Castellonense x Patacona CF
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.