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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» UD Logrones B x FC La Calzada Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 16
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 11h00 Spain Tercera Group 16
UD Logrones B UD Logrones B
PREDICTION No tip
FC La Calzada FC La Calzada
Don't miss this prediction!

UD Logrones B x FC La Calzada Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 16

Our betting tip for UD Logrones B x FC La Calzada, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
11:00
UD Logrones B UD Logrones B
1.70
X
3.52
FC La Calzada FC La Calzada
4.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for UD Logrones B x FC La Calzada:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for UD Logrones B x FC La Calzada

The main points for the tip for UD Logrones B x FC La Calzada:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on UD Logrones B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $223.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, UD Logrones B scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against FC La Calzada, UD Logrones B scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 FC La Calzada matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between UD Logrones B x FC La Calzada, with UD Logrones B as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ UD Logrones B is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 road matches, FC La Calzada has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ UD Logrones B has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against FC La Calzada playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on UD Logrones B x FC La Calzada?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on UD Logrones B x FC La Calzada, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from UD Logrones B x FC La Calzada for the Spain Tercera Group 16 – 1 of December

🏟️ UD Logrones B X FC La Calzada – Spain Tercera Group 16
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 11:00
πŸ”΅ UD Logrones B – Winning probability: 61.13% | Fair line: 1.64
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.72% | Fair line: 3.74
πŸ”΄ FC La Calzada – Winning probability: 12.15% | Fair line: 8.23
βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 UD Logrones B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between UD Logrones B and FC La Calzada.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for UD Logrones B x FC La Calzada

Is it a good idea to bet on UD Logrones B?

πŸ”΅ UD Logrones B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 61.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – profiting $427.00;
  • And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$37.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $680.40;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$49.60. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on FC La Calzada worth it?

πŸ”΄ FC La Calzada: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $384.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$496.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UD Logrones B x FC La Calzada

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 UD Logrones B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Logrones B x FC La Calzada

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 UD Logrones B, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 UD Logrones B.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 UD Logrones B.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Logrones B x FC La Calzada

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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