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Home » Predictions » Others » UD Logrones x UD Barbastro Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 17h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
UD Logrones UD Logrones
PREDICTION UD Logrones wins Probability 88% 1 X 2
UD Barbastro UD Barbastro
ODD: @1.28 Don't miss this prediction!

UD Logrones x UD Barbastro Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for UD Logrones x UD Barbastro, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
17:00
UD Logrones UD Logrones
1.28
X
4.50
UD Barbastro UD Barbastro
8.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for UD Logrones x UD Barbastro:

🔮 UD Logrones wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UD Logrones, you can win up to $640.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for UD Logrones x UD Barbastro:

👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Logrones in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $358.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Barbastro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from UD Logrones x UD Barbastro for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 – 30 of November

🏟️ UD Logrones X UD Barbastro – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 17:00
🔵 UD Logrones – Winning probability: 88.75% | Fair line: 1.13
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.35% | Fair line: 10.7
🔴 UD Barbastro – Winning probability: 1.90% | Fair line: 52.72
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 UD Logrones
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on UD Logrones x UD Barbastro is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for UD Logrones x UD Barbastro

Is it a good idea to bet on UD Logrones?

🔵 UD Logrones: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 88.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 890 times – this would give you a profit of $249.20
  • And would lose other 110 times – losing -$110.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$139.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $315.00
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$595.00.

Is it worth betting on UD Barbastro?

🔴 UD Barbastro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $146.00
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$834.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match UD Logrones x UD Barbastro

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 UD Logrones
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Logrones x UD Barbastro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 UD Logrones, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 UD Logrones.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 UD Logrones.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Logrones x UD Barbastro

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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