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Home » Predictions » Others » UD Montijo x CF Jaraiz Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 14
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 11h30 Spain Tercera Group 14
UD Montijo UD Montijo
PREDICTION CF Jaraiz Wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
CF Jaraiz CF Jaraiz
ODD: @1.67 Don't miss this prediction!

UD Montijo x CF Jaraiz Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 14

Our betting tip for UD Montijo x CF Jaraiz, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
11:30
UD Montijo UD Montijo
4.33
X
3.50
CF Jaraiz CF Jaraiz
1.67

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for UD Montijo x CF Jaraiz:

🔮 CF Jaraiz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CF Jaraiz, you can win up to $835.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for UD Montijo x CF Jaraiz:

👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Montijo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, CF Jaraiz scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 CF Jaraiz matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, UD Montijo conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on UD Montijo x CF Jaraiz?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on UD Montijo x CF Jaraiz, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from UD Montijo x CF Jaraiz for the Spain Tercera Group 14 – 12 of January

🏟️ UD Montijo X CF Jaraiz – Spain Tercera Group 14
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 11:30
🔵 UD Montijo – Winning probability: 8.78% | Fair line: 11.39
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.02% | Fair line: 4.16
🔴 CF Jaraiz – Winning probability: 67.20% | Fair line: 1.49
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 UD Montijo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between UD Montijo and CF Jaraiz.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for UD Montijo x CF Jaraiz

Is it worth betting on UD Montijo?

🔵 UD Montijo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $299.70
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$610.30.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Is it worth betting on CF Jaraiz?

🔴 CF Jaraiz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – profiting $448.90;
  • And would lose other 330 times – losing -$330.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$118.90.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match UD Montijo x CF Jaraiz

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 UD Montijo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Montijo x CF Jaraiz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 UD Montijo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 UD Montijo.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Montijo x CF Jaraiz

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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