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Home » Predictions » Others » UD Montijo x Jerez Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 14
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 11h30 Spain Tercera Group 14
UD Montijo UD Montijo
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
Jerez Jerez
ODD: @3.3 Don't miss this prediction!

UD Montijo x Jerez Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 14

Our betting tip for UD Montijo x Jerez, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
11:30
UD Montijo UD Montijo
2.15
X
3.30
Jerez Jerez
2.85

Our algorithm has selected this tip for UD Montijo x Jerez:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1650.00!

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Important information for your tip for UD Montijo x Jerez:

👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Montijo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Jerez in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Jerez scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Jerez, UD Montijo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Jerez conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 UD Montijo has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Jerez.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on UD Montijo x Jerez?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on UD Montijo x Jerez:

Analysis from UD Montijo x Jerez for the Spain Tercera Group 14 – 1 of December

🏟️ UD Montijo X Jerez – Spain Tercera Group 14
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 11:30
🔵 UD Montijo – Winning probability: 34.06% | Fair line: 2.94
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.78% | Fair line: 2.96
🔴 Jerez – Winning probability: 32.15% | Fair line: 3.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 UD Montijo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between UD Montijo and Jerez.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for UD Montijo x Jerez

Is it worth betting on UD Montijo?

🔵 UD Montijo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $391.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$269.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $782.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$122.00.

Is it worth betting on Jerez?

🔴 Jerez: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $592.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$88.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UD Montijo x Jerez

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 UD Montijo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Montijo x Jerez

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 UD Montijo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 UD Montijo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Jerez.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Montijo x Jerez

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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