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UD Oliveirense x Montalegre Betting tips for January 19 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for UD Oliveirense x Montalegre, Wednesday, 19/1/2022
๐Ÿ“… 19/1/2022
16:30
UD Oliveirense
1.70
X
3.45
Montalegre
4.01

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for UD Oliveirense x Montalegre:

๐Ÿ”ฎ UD Oliveirense wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UD Oliveirense, you can win up to $850.00!

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๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for UD Oliveirense x Montalegre

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Analysis from UD Oliveirense x Montalegre for the Portugal Liga 3 – 19 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ UD Oliveirense X Montalegre – Portugal Liga 3
๐Ÿ“… 19 of January, 2022 – 16:30
๐Ÿ”ต UD Oliveirense – Winning probability: 73.55% | Fair line: 1.36
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.36% | Fair line: 5.76
๐Ÿ”ด Montalegre – Winning probability: 9.08% | Fair line: 11.01
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 UD Oliveirense
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between UD Oliveirense and Montalegre.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289741 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for UD Oliveirense x Montalegre

Is betting on UD Oliveirense worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต UD Oliveirense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 73.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $518.00;
  • And would lose other 260 times – losing -$260.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$258.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $416.50
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$413.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Montalegre?

๐Ÿ”ด Montalegre: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.01. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $270.90;
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$639.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UD Oliveirense x Montalegre

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 UD Oliveirense
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Oliveirense x Montalegre

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 UD Oliveirense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 UD Oliveirense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 UD Oliveirense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Oliveirense x Montalegre

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Follow our tips on YouTube too

Besides the artificial intelligence that you have here, our sporting bets experts are on YouTube searching for the best bets for Wednesday. Right above you can check our last analysis and be a part of the community by subscribing on our betting tips channel on YouTube.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves