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Home » Predictions » UD San Pedro x Celta Vigo Betting tips for October 30 in Spain Copa del Rey
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 20h00 Spain Copa del Rey
UD San Pedro UD San Pedro
PREDICTION No tip
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
Don't miss this prediction!

UD San Pedro x Celta Vigo Betting tips for October 30 in Spain Copa del Rey

Our betting tip for UD San Pedro x Celta Vigo, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
20:00
UD San Pedro UD San Pedro
40.66
X
16.86
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
1.02

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for UD San Pedro x Celta Vigo:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for UD San Pedro x Celta Vigo

Some important points for the tip for UD San Pedro x Celta Vigo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Celta Vigo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from UD San Pedro x Celta Vigo for the Spain Copa del Rey – 30 of October

🏟️ UD San Pedro X Celta Vigo – Spain Copa del Rey
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 UD San Pedro – Winning probability: 0.00% | Fair line: 1072504523.29
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.00% | Fair line: 4296990.82
🔴 Celta Vigo – Winning probability: 100.00% | Fair line: 1.0
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.5 UD San Pedro
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for UD San Pedro x Celta Vigo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1212778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for UD San Pedro x Celta Vigo

Is betting on UD San Pedro worth it?

🔵 UD San Pedro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 40.66. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 16.86. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is it worth betting on Celta Vigo?

🔴 Celta Vigo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 100.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 1000 times – having a profit of $20.00;
  • And would lose other 0 times – having a loss of -$0.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$20.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UD San Pedro x Celta Vigo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.5 UD San Pedro
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD San Pedro x Celta Vigo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +2.5 UD San Pedro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +4.25 UD San Pedro.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -1.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +4.25 UD San Pedro.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD San Pedro x Celta Vigo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 4.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 4.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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