UD San Sebastian Reyes x Conquense Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
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1/12/2024 11:00 |
 UD San Sebastian Reyes1.95 |
X 3.29 |
Conquense  3.46 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for UD San Sebastian Reyes x Conquense:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for UD San Sebastian Reyes x Conquense
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Important information for your tip for UD San Sebastian Reyes x Conquense: π If you had bet $100 on UD San Sebastian Reyes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $133.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on UD San Sebastian Reyes x Conquense?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on UD San Sebastian Reyes x Conquense, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from UD San Sebastian Reyes x Conquense for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 1 of December
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ποΈ UD San Sebastian Reyes X Conquense – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for UD San Sebastian Reyes x Conquense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for UD San Sebastian Reyes x Conquense
Should you bet on UD San Sebastian Reyes?
π΅ UD San Sebastian Reyes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $427.50;
- And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$122.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.29. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $755.70
- And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just π°$85.70 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Should you bet on Conquense?
π΄ Conquense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $541.20
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$238.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match UD San Sebastian Reyes x Conquense
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 UD San Sebastian Reyes
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD San Sebastian Reyes x Conquense
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 UD San Sebastian Reyes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 UD San Sebastian Reyes. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD San Sebastian Reyes x Conquense
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
