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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» UD Santa Marta x CD Virgen Del Camino Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Tercera Group 8
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 11h30 Spain Tercera Group 8
UD Santa Marta UD Santa Marta
PREDICTION No tip
CD Virgen Del Camino CD Virgen Del Camino
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UD Santa Marta x CD Virgen Del Camino Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Tercera Group 8

Our betting tip for UD Santa Marta x CD Virgen Del Camino, Sunday, 9/3/2025
πŸ“… 9/3/2025
11:30
UD Santa Marta UD Santa Marta
2.71
X
3.00
CD Virgen Del Camino CD Virgen Del Camino
2.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for UD Santa Marta x CD Virgen Del Camino:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for UD Santa Marta x CD Virgen Del Camino

Important information for your tip for UD Santa Marta x CD Virgen Del Camino:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on UD Santa Marta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-140.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CD Virgen Del Camino in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-4.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 UD Santa Marta matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 CD Virgen Del Camino matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, UD Santa Marta conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against CD Virgen Del Camino.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on UD Santa Marta x CD Virgen Del Camino?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on UD Santa Marta x CD Virgen Del Camino:

Analysis from UD Santa Marta x CD Virgen Del Camino for the Spain Tercera Group 8 – 9 of March

🏟️ UD Santa Marta X CD Virgen Del Camino – Spain Tercera Group 8
πŸ“… 9 of March, 2025 – 11:30
πŸ”΅ UD Santa Marta – Winning probability: 44.98% | Fair line: 2.22
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.74% | Fair line: 3.25
πŸ”΄ CD Virgen Del Camino – Winning probability: 24.28% | Fair line: 4.12
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 UD Santa Marta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for UD Santa Marta x CD Virgen Del Camino right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for UD Santa Marta x CD Virgen Del Camino

Is it worth betting on UD Santa Marta?

πŸ”΅ UD Santa Marta: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.71. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $769.50;
  • And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$219.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $620.00
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$70.00.

Is it worth betting on CD Virgen Del Camino?

πŸ”΄ CD Virgen Del Camino: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $336.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$424.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UD Santa Marta x CD Virgen Del Camino

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 UD Santa Marta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Santa Marta x CD Virgen Del Camino

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 UD Santa Marta, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 UD Santa Marta.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Santa Marta x CD Virgen Del Camino

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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