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Home » Predictions » Others » UE Cornella x UE Sant Andreu Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 13h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
UE Cornella UE Cornella
PREDICTION UE Sant Andreu Wins Probability 45% 1 X 2
UE Sant Andreu UE Sant Andreu
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction!

UE Cornella x UE Sant Andreu Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3

Our betting tip for UE Cornella x UE Sant Andreu, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
13:00
UE Cornella UE Cornella
2.89
X
2.98
UE Sant Andreu UE Sant Andreu
2.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for UE Cornella x UE Sant Andreu:

🔮 UE Sant Andreu wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UE Sant Andreu, you can win up to $1150.00!

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Some important points for the tip for UE Cornella x UE Sant Andreu:

👉 If you had bet $100 on UE Cornella in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on UE Sant Andreu in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $326.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against UE Sant Andreu, UE Cornella scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 UE Cornella has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against UE Sant Andreu playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from UE Cornella x UE Sant Andreu for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 – 29 of September

🏟️ UE Cornella X UE Sant Andreu – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 UE Cornella – Winning probability: 23.47% | Fair line: 4.26
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.66% | Fair line: 3.26
🔴 UE Sant Andreu – Winning probability: 45.87% | Fair line: 2.18
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 UE Cornella
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on UE Cornella x UE Sant Andreu is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for UE Cornella x UE Sant Andreu

Is it a good idea to bet on UE Cornella?

🔵 UE Cornella: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.89. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $434.70;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$335.30.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $613.80;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$76.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on UE Sant Andreu?

🔴 UE Sant Andreu: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $598.00
  • And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$58.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UE Cornella x UE Sant Andreu

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 UE Cornella
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UE Cornella x UE Sant Andreu

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 UE Cornella and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 UE Cornella.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 UE Sant Andreu.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UE Cornella x UE Sant Andreu

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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