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Home » Predictions » UE Porreres x Binissalem Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Tercera Group 11
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 15h30 Spain Tercera Group 11
UE Porreres UE Porreres
PREDICTION UE Porreres wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
Binissalem Binissalem
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

UE Porreres x Binissalem Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Tercera Group 11

Our betting tip for UE Porreres x Binissalem, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
15:30
UE Porreres UE Porreres
1.50
X
3.75
Binissalem Binissalem
5.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for UE Porreres x Binissalem:

🔮 UE Porreres wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UE Porreres, you can win up to $750.00!

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Some important points for the tip for UE Porreres x Binissalem:

👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, UE Porreres scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Binissalem scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Binissalem has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from UE Porreres x Binissalem for the Spain Tercera Group 11 – 2 of February

🏟️ UE Porreres X Binissalem – Spain Tercera Group 11
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 UE Porreres – Winning probability: 79.66% | Fair line: 1.26
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.61% | Fair line: 6.4
🔴 Binissalem – Winning probability: 4.72% | Fair line: 21.17
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 UE Porreres
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between UE Porreres and Binissalem.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for UE Porreres x Binissalem

Should you bet on UE Porreres?

🔵 UE Porreres: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 79.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 800 times – this would give you a profit of $400.00
  • And would lose other 200 times – having a loss of -$200.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$200.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $440.00;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$400.00.

Is it worth betting on Binissalem?

🔴 Binissalem: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $240.00
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$710.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UE Porreres x Binissalem

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 UE Porreres
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UE Porreres x Binissalem

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 UE Porreres and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 UE Porreres. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UE Porreres x Binissalem

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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