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Home » Predictions » Others » UE Porreres x Mercadal Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Tercera Group 11
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 15h00 Spain Tercera Group 11
UE Porreres UE Porreres
PREDICTION No tip
Mercadal Mercadal
Don't miss this prediction!

UE Porreres x Mercadal Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Tercera Group 11

Our betting tip for UE Porreres x Mercadal, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
15:00
UE Porreres UE Porreres
1.80
X
3.30
Mercadal Mercadal
3.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for UE Porreres x Mercadal:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for UE Porreres x Mercadal

Important information for your tip for UE Porreres x Mercadal:

👉 Mercadal did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 Mercadal matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Mercadal has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on UE Porreres x Mercadal?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on UE Porreres x Mercadal:

Analysis from UE Porreres x Mercadal for the Spain Tercera Group 11 – 9 of March

🏟️ UE Porreres X Mercadal – Spain Tercera Group 11
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 UE Porreres – Winning probability: 56.21% | Fair line: 1.78
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.62% | Fair line: 3.38
🔴 Mercadal – Winning probability: 14.17% | Fair line: 7.06
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 UE Porreres
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on UE Porreres x Mercadal is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1277138 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for UE Porreres x Mercadal

Is it worth betting on UE Porreres?

🔵 UE Porreres: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – profiting $448.00;
  • And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$8.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $690.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$10.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on Mercadal?

🔴 Mercadal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $406.00;
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$454.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UE Porreres x Mercadal

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 UE Porreres
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UE Porreres x Mercadal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 UE Porreres and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 UE Porreres.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Mercadal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UE Porreres x Mercadal

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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