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Home » Predictions » Others » UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida Betting tips for March 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
Sunday, 01 March 2026, 17h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
UE Sant Andreu UE Sant Andreu
PREDICTION UE Sant Andreu wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
Atletic Lleida Atletic Lleida
ODD: @1.54
Bonus 100% up to $500
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UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida Betting tips for March 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3

Our betting tip for UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida, Sunday, 1/3/2026
📅 1/3/2026
17:00
UE Sant Andreu UE Sant Andreu
1.54
X
3.70
Atletic Lleida Atletic Lleida
5.49

Our algorithm has selected this tip for UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida:

🔮 UE Sant Andreu wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UE Sant Andreu, you can win up to $770.00!

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Some important points for the tip for UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida:

👉 If you had bet $100 on UE Sant Andreu in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $91.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletic Lleida in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, UE Sant Andreu scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Atletic Lleida has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 – 1 of March

🏟️ UE Sant Andreu X Atletic Lleida – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
📅 1 of March, 2026 – 17:00
🔵 UE Sant Andreu – Winning probability: 74.69% | Fair line: 1.34
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.87% | Fair line: 5.59
🔴 Atletic Lleida – Winning probability: 7.44% | Fair line: 13.45
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 UE Sant Andreu
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

How the handicap and odds moved for UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

📊 With a variation of 1.35%, the odds for UE Sant Andreu are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @1.48 for UE Sant Andreu and now the odds are @1.5.
📊 With a variation of 1.33%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.75 for Draw and now the odds are @3.8.
📊 With a variation of -4.35%, the odds for Atletic Lleida are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @5.75 for Atletic Lleida and now the odds are @5.5.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of -1.00 for UE Sant Andreu is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The market expects more goals than when it opened: the goals handicap opened at 2.25 and now is at 2.50 goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1488879 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Should you bet on UE Sant Andreu?

🔵 UE Sant Andreu: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 74.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 750 times – profiting $405.00;
  • And would lose other 250 times – having a loss of -$250.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$155.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $486.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$334.00.

Is it worth betting on Atletic Lleida?

🔴 Atletic Lleida: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $314.30;
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$615.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 UE Sant Andreu
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 UE Sant Andreu, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 UE Sant Andreu.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 UE Sant Andreu.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida

Which team is the favourite in UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida?

Based on our calculations, the team most likely to win is UE Sant Andreu, with an estimated chance of 74.69%. Remember: surprises happen in football!

Who will win: UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida?

It is important to remember that sports betting offers no guarantees. However, our analysis indicates that UE Sant Andreu is more likely to win, with an estimated probability of 74.69%. Betting involves risk—bet responsibly!

What are the chances of UE Sant Andreu beating Atletic Lleida today?

Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate UE Sant Andreu would win about 75 of those against Atletic Lleida.

What are the chances of Atletic Lleida beating UE Sant Andreu today?

Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Atletic Lleida would win about 7 of those versus UE Sant Andreu.

Which team should I bet on: UE Sant Andreu or Atletic Lleida?

Smart bettors seek bets with positive expected value. According to our analysis, the recommended bet is: UE Sant Andreu wins, with an expected value of 11.94%. Remember to bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: dont stake over 2%!

How much is UE Sant Andreu paying today? See what you can win by betting on UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida:

The odds for UE Sant Andreu to beat Atletic Lleida today are around 1.54. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh1540.00 if UE Sant Andreu wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!

How much is Atletic Lleida paying today? See what you can win by betting on UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida:

The average odds for Atletic Lleida to beat UE Sant Andreu today are 5.49. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh5490.00 if Atletic Lleida wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

Which bookmaker is best for betting on UE Sant Andreu x Atletic Lleida?

If you plan to bet on UE Sant Andreu vs Atletic Lleida, we suggest using trusted and regulated bookmakers. Here are three operators we recommend:

Remember to bet responsibly!

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves