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Home » Predictions » Others » UF Santos x Morupule Wanderers FC Betting tips for January 12 in Botswana Premier League
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 14h00 Botswana Premier League
UF Santos UF Santos
PREDICTION Morupule Wanderers FC Wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Morupule Wanderers FC Morupule Wanderers FC
ODD: @1.37 Don't miss this prediction!

UF Santos x Morupule Wanderers FC Betting tips for January 12 in Botswana Premier League

Our betting tip for UF Santos x Morupule Wanderers FC, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
14:00
UF Santos UF Santos
7.08
X
4.10
Morupule Wanderers FC Morupule Wanderers FC
1.37

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for UF Santos x Morupule Wanderers FC:

🔮 Morupule Wanderers FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Morupule Wanderers FC, you can win up to $685.00!

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The main points for the tip for UF Santos x Morupule Wanderers FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on UF Santos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Morupule Wanderers FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 UF Santos matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, UF Santos conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Morupule Wanderers FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for UF Santos as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from UF Santos x Morupule Wanderers FC for the Botswana Premier League – 12 of January

🏟️ UF Santos X Morupule Wanderers FC – Botswana Premier League
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 UF Santos – Winning probability: 2.10% | Fair line: 47.66
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.99% | Fair line: 9.1
🔴 Morupule Wanderers FC – Winning probability: 86.91% | Fair line: 1.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 UF Santos
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between UF Santos and Morupule Wanderers FC.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for UF Santos x Morupule Wanderers FC

Should you bet on UF Santos?

🔵 UF Santos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $121.60
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$858.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $341.00
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$549.00.

Is betting on Morupule Wanderers FC worth it?

🔴 Morupule Wanderers FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 870 times – profiting $321.90;
  • And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$191.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UF Santos x Morupule Wanderers FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 UF Santos
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UF Santos x Morupule Wanderers FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 UF Santos and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 UF Santos.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UF Santos x Morupule Wanderers FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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