📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Umm Salal x Al Gharafa
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Analysis from Umm Salal x Al Gharafa for the Qatar Stars League – 18 of January
🏟️ Umm Salal X Al Gharafa – Qatar Stars League
When the best bet on Umm Salal x Al Gharafa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288303 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Umm Salal x Al Gharafa
Is it a good idea to bet on Umm Salal?
🔵 Umm Salal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $560.00;
- And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$120.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $499.38;
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$290.62.
Should you bet on Al Gharafa?
🔴 Al Gharafa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.27. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 470 times – profiting $594.55;
- And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$64.55.
Handicaps analysis for the match Umm Salal x Al Gharafa
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Umm Salal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Umm Salal x Al Gharafa
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Umm Salal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Umm Salal.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Al Gharafa.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Umm Salal x Al Gharafa
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves