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Home » Predictions » Others » Umraniyespor x Esenler Erokspor Betting tips for April 14 in Türkiye 1 Lig
Monday, 14 April 2025, 14h00 Türkiye 1 Lig
Umraniyespor Umraniyespor
PREDICTION No tip
Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor
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Umraniyespor x Esenler Erokspor Betting tips for April 14 in Türkiye 1 Lig

Our betting tip for Umraniyespor x Esenler Erokspor, Monday, 14/4/2025
📅 14/4/2025
14:00
Umraniyespor Umraniyespor
2.10
X
3.30
Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor
3.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Umraniyespor x Esenler Erokspor:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Umraniyespor x Esenler Erokspor

Important information for your tip for Umraniyespor x Esenler Erokspor:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Umraniyespor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-40.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Esenler Erokspor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Esenler Erokspor scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Umraniyespor matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Esenler Erokspor has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Umraniyespor x Esenler Erokspor?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Umraniyespor x Esenler Erokspor, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Umraniyespor x Esenler Erokspor for the Türkiye 1 Lig – 14 of April

🏟️ Umraniyespor X Esenler Erokspor – Türkiye 1 Lig
📅 14 of April, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Umraniyespor – Winning probability: 44.00% | Fair line: 2.27
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.70% | Fair line: 3.37
🔴 Esenler Erokspor – Winning probability: 26.30% | Fair line: 3.8
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Umraniyespor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Umraniyespor x Esenler Erokspor is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1303016 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Umraniyespor x Esenler Erokspor

Is betting on Umraniyespor worth it?

🔵 Umraniyespor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $484.00;
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$76.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $690.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$10.00.

Is it worth betting on Esenler Erokspor?

🔴 Esenler Erokspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $546.00;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$194.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Umraniyespor x Esenler Erokspor

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Umraniyespor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Umraniyespor x Esenler Erokspor

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Umraniyespor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Umraniyespor.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Umraniyespor x Esenler Erokspor

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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