UNA Strassen x Progres Niedercorn Betting tips for September 29 in Luxembourg Division Nationale
| 📅 29/9/2024 11:00 |
 UNA Strassen3.70 |
X 3.40 |
Progres Niedercorn  1.82 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for UNA Strassen x Progres Niedercorn:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1700.00!
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The main points for the tip for UNA Strassen x Progres Niedercorn: 👉 If you had bet $100 on UNA Strassen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-208.0. |
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Analysis from UNA Strassen x Progres Niedercorn for the Luxembourg Division Nationale – 29 of September
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🏟️ UNA Strassen X Progres Niedercorn – Luxembourg Division Nationale |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between UNA Strassen and Progres Niedercorn.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for UNA Strassen x Progres Niedercorn
Is it a good idea to bet on UNA Strassen?
🔵 UNA Strassen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $459.00;
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$371.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $792.00
- And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$122.00.
Is betting on Progres Niedercorn worth it?
🔴 Progres Niedercorn: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $418.20;
- And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$71.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match UNA Strassen x Progres Niedercorn
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 UNA Strassen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UNA Strassen x Progres Niedercorn
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 UNA Strassen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 UNA Strassen.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 UNA Strassen.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UNA Strassen x Progres Niedercorn
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
