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Home » Predictions » Others » UNAN Managua x Deportivo Ocotal Betting tips for April 13 in Nicaragua Clausura
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 23h00 Nicaragua Clausura
UNAN Managua UNAN Managua
PREDICTION UNAN Managua wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

UNAN Managua x Deportivo Ocotal Betting tips for April 13 in Nicaragua Clausura

Our betting tip for UNAN Managua x Deportivo Ocotal, Sunday, 13/4/2025
📅 13/4/2025
23:00
UNAN Managua UNAN Managua
1.75
X
3.40
Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal
4.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for UNAN Managua x Deportivo Ocotal:

🔮 UNAN Managua wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UNAN Managua, you can win up to $875.00!

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Some important points for the tip for UNAN Managua x Deportivo Ocotal:

👉 If you had bet $100 on UNAN Managua in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $446.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Ocotal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, UNAN Managua scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Deportivo Ocotal, UNAN Managua scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 UNAN Managua matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Deportivo Ocotal conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 UNAN Managua has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Deportivo Ocotal playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from UNAN Managua x Deportivo Ocotal for the Nicaragua Clausura – 13 of April

🏟️ UNAN Managua X Deportivo Ocotal – Nicaragua Clausura
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 23:00
🔵 UNAN Managua – Winning probability: 63.69% | Fair line: 1.57
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.27% | Fair line: 4.3
🔴 Deportivo Ocotal – Winning probability: 13.04% | Fair line: 7.67
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 UNAN Managua
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between UNAN Managua and Deportivo Ocotal.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1302894 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for UNAN Managua x Deportivo Ocotal

Should you bet on UNAN Managua?

🔵 UNAN Managua: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $480.00;
  • And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$120.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $552.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$218.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Ocotal?

🔴 Deportivo Ocotal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$480.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UNAN Managua x Deportivo Ocotal

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 UNAN Managua
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UNAN Managua x Deportivo Ocotal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 UNAN Managua, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 UNAN Managua.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 UNAN Managua.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UNAN Managua x Deportivo Ocotal

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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