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Home » Predictions » Unia Skierniewice x GKS Katowice Betting tips for October 30 in Poland Cup
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 18h00 Poland Cup
Unia Skierniewice Unia Skierniewice
PREDICTION GKS Katowice Wins Probability 91% 1 X 2
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
ODD: @1.34 Don't miss this prediction!

Unia Skierniewice x GKS Katowice Betting tips for October 30 in Poland Cup

Our betting tip for Unia Skierniewice x GKS Katowice, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
18:00
Unia Skierniewice Unia Skierniewice
7.15
X
4.60
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
1.34

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Unia Skierniewice x GKS Katowice:

🔮 GKS Katowice wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on GKS Katowice, you can win up to $670.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Unia Skierniewice x GKS Katowice:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Unia Skierniewice in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-66.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on GKS Katowice in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $5.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, GKS Katowice scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 GKS Katowice matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Unia Skierniewice x GKS Katowice for the Poland Cup – 30 of October

🏟️ Unia Skierniewice X GKS Katowice – Poland Cup
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 18:00
🔵 Unia Skierniewice – Winning probability: 2.68% | Fair line: 37.25
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.31% | Fair line: 15.86
🔴 GKS Katowice – Winning probability: 91.01% | Fair line: 1.1
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Unia Skierniewice
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Unia Skierniewice and GKS Katowice.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212778 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Unia Skierniewice x GKS Katowice

Is it worth betting on Unia Skierniewice?

🔵 Unia Skierniewice: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $184.50
  • And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$785.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $216.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$724.00.

Is it worth betting on GKS Katowice?

🔴 GKS Katowice: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 91.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.34. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 910 times – having a profit of $309.40;
  • And would have lost other 90 times – with a loss of -$90.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$219.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Unia Skierniewice x GKS Katowice

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Unia Skierniewice
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Unia Skierniewice x GKS Katowice

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Unia Skierniewice, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Unia Skierniewice.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Unia Skierniewice x GKS Katowice

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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