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Home » Predictions » Uniao Araguainense x Tocantins Betting tips for March 9 in Brazil Campeonato Tocantinense
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 19h00 Brazil Campeonato Tocantinense
Uniao Araguainense Uniao Araguainense
PREDICTION Uniao Araguainense wins Probability 92% 1 X 2
Tocantins Tocantins
ODD: @1.23 Don't miss this prediction!

Uniao Araguainense x Tocantins Betting tips for March 9 in Brazil Campeonato Tocantinense

Our betting tip for Uniao Araguainense x Tocantins, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
19:00
Uniao Araguainense Uniao Araguainense
1.23
X
6.00
Tocantins Tocantins
7.65

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Uniao Araguainense x Tocantins:

🔮 Uniao Araguainense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Uniao Araguainense, you can win up to $615.00!

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The main points for the tip for Uniao Araguainense x Tocantins:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Uniao Araguainense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $910.0.
👉 Tocantins did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Tocantins conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Tocantins as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Uniao Araguainense x Tocantins for the Brazil Campeonato Tocantinense – 9 of March

🏟️ Uniao Araguainense X Tocantins – Brazil Campeonato Tocantinense
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Uniao Araguainense – Winning probability: 92.55% | Fair line: 1.08
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.83% | Fair line: 17.15
🔴 Tocantins – Winning probability: 1.62% | Fair line: 61.87
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Uniao Araguainense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Uniao Araguainense x Tocantins right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Uniao Araguainense x Tocantins

Should you bet on Uniao Araguainense?

🔵 Uniao Araguainense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 92.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.23. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 930 times – profiting $213.90;
  • And would lose other 70 times – having a loss of -$70.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$143.90.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $300.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$640.00.

Should you bet on Tocantins?

🔴 Tocantins: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $133.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$847.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Uniao Araguainense x Tocantins

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Uniao Araguainense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Uniao Araguainense x Tocantins

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Uniao Araguainense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.75 Uniao Araguainense. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Uniao Araguainense x Tocantins

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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